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BGS Global Geomagnetic Activity Forecast

Forecast period
(noon-to-noon GMT) 		Forecast Global Activity level
Average Max
13 FEB-14 FEB QUIET ACTIVE
14 FEB-15 FEB QUIET QUIET
15 FEB-16 FEB QUIET STORM G1

For more information about the forecast and activity categories see
geomag.bgs.ac.uk/education/activitylevels.html

Activity during last 24 hours

Global   Local (UK)
Date Average Max At time (UTC) Average Max At time (UTC)
12 FEB-13 FEB QUIET ACTIVE 00:00-03:00 QUIET ACTIVE 00:00-03:00

Additional Comments

Brief isolated ACTIVE periods are possible during the first forecast interval, although geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain mostly QUIET.
A coronal hole high speed stream may become geoeffective during the third forecast interval which could bring further ACTIVE periods, with a slight chance of reaching STORM G1 levels.
An M-class flare was observed this morning near centre disc. Data are currently limited to assess the potential of an associated coronal mass ejection (CME). Initial imagery suggests there may be a possibility of a glancing blow either late in the third forecast interval or just beyond the forecast periods, which could have the potential to cause some STORM G1 periods.
Time of forecast: 13 Feb 2026
© UKRI